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How many copies did LiEat sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 195k–317k
$160k–$431k after Steam's cut $292k–$664k before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LiEat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LiEat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 334k–578k
best case 2.9M (OMORI)
Games like LiEat

A typical game among these

≈ 334k–578k copies

≈ $944k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Hand-drawn (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + RPGMaker, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Great Soundtrack + RPGMaker; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Samorost 3
2016
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickHand-drawn
The Tiny Bang Story
2011
Est. copies
≈ 420k–683k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
Tales of the Black Forest
2019
Est. copies
≈ 447k–726k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$3.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGRPGMaker
Old Man's Journey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$404k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $735k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCasual
OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
To the Moon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichGreat Soundtrack
A Bird Story
2014
Est. copies
≈ 606k–984k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$665k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$3.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
IndieStory Rich
Pyre
2017
Est. copies
≈ 322k–523k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
IndieRPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.