How much revenue did Arcade Moonlander make?

$11k–$31k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arcade Moonlander sell?

Q: How many copies did Arcade Moonlander sell?

42k to 68k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 42k–68k; $11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arcade Moonlander and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arcade Moonlander's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 46k–326k

best case 563k (Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing)

Games like Arcade Moonlander

A typical game among these

≈ 46k–326k copies

≈ $726k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing at ≈ 429k–697k copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 175 reviews in their first month; the range was 65 to 429.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Flight (8 of 8) and Racing (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Flight, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SKYE 2020	Est. copies ≈ 33k–54k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Very Positive	IndieFree to Play
FPV SkyDive : FPV Drone Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 77k–125k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Very Positive	FlightExploration
Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing 2018	Est. copies ≈ 429k–697k 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationFlight
Aerofly FS 4 Flight Simulator 2022	Est. copies ≈ 36k–58k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $591k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1k reviews Very Positive	FlightRacing
Uncrashed : FPV Drone Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 199k–323k 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $819k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationFlight
Aerofly FS 2 Flight Simulator 2017	Est. copies ≈ 70k–113k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $958k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	FlightSimulation
Superflight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 399k–648k 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $328k–$881k after Steam's cut $596k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$2.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FlightIndie
Kitten Burst 2024	Est. copies ≈ 10k–17k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $58k–$155k after Steam's cut $105k–$238k before Steam's cut	$19.99	422 reviews Very Positive	RacingFlight