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How many copies did Islands of Nyne: Battle Royale sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 201k–327k
from 7k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Islands of Nyne: Battle Royale and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Islands of Nyne: Battle Royale's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 310k–21.5M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Islands of Nyne: Battle Royale

A typical game among these

≈ 310k–21.5M copies

from ~99k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 850 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 76k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (8 of 8) and FPS (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
28x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
Ring of Elysium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
99k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
SOS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 204k–332k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Negative
SurvivalAction
Battle of Hunters : Beast Zone
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65 reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Cyber Hunter
2020
Est. copies
≈ 269k–437k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Fear The Wolves
2019
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
Battle RoyaleSurvival

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