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How many copies did SOS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 204k–332k
from 7k reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SOS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SOS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 781k–14.8M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like SOS

A typical game among these

≈ 781k–14.8M copies

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (8 of 8) and Survival (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Darwin Project
2020
Est. copies
≈ 458k–743k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Very Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Last Man Standing
2017
Est. copies
≈ 596k–968k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySurvival
Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
The Culling
2017
Est. copies
≈ 592k–962k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMultiplayer
Realm Royale Reforged
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Ring of Elysium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
99k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter

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