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How many copies did The Hong Kong Massacre sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 59k–96k
$324k–$870k after Steam's cut $589k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Hong Kong Massacre and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Hong Kong Massacre's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 603–847
best case 130k (OTXO)
Games like The Hong Kong Massacre

A typical game among these

≈ 603–847 copies

≈ $1k–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: OTXO at ≈ 99k–160k copies, ≈ $407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 62 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Top-Down Shooter (7 of 8) and Violent (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Top-Down Shooter, priced around $14.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OTXO
2023
Est. copies
≈ 99k–160k
159x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $740k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeTop-Down Shooter
Suit for Hire
2025
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
134x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$342k–$919k after Steam's cut $622k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction
Mr. Fast
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut
$4.99
186 reviews
Very Positive
Bullet TimeTwin Stick Shooter
Time Recoil
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$65k before Steam's cut
$13.99
118 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionIndie
Killer Ricky
2021
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$551–$1k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
27 reviews
Mixed
ActionViolent
Esse Proxy
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$4.99
148 reviews
Mostly Positive
Bullet Noir
2025
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$8.99
25 reviews
Positive
Early AccessCrime
REM: The Dreamer
2024
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
12 reviews
Positive
Early AccessTop-Down Shooter

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