How much revenue did Bullet Noir make?

$2k–$4k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bullet Noir sell?

Q: How many copies did Bullet Noir sell?

620 to 1k copies, based on its 25 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 620–1k; $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut; from 25 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bullet Noir and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bullet Noir's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–2.5M

best case 11.3M (Ready or Not)

Games like Bullet Noir

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–2.5M copies

≈ $10.6M–$32.3M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Ready or Not at ≈ 8.6M–14.0M copies, ≈ $118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 143k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Crime (5 of 8) and Gore (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tactical + Realistic, priced around $50.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Ravenous Devils 2022	Est. copies ≈ 246k–400k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $338k–$908k after Steam's cut $614k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$4.99	10k reviews Very Positive	ManagementCooking
Ready or Not 2023	Est. copies ≈ 8.6M–14.0M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut	$49.99	347k reviews Mostly Positive	TacticalRealistic
Party Hard 2015	Est. copies ≈ 619k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsStealth
Mafia II: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 967k–1.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$33.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	39k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Mafia III: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.5M after Steam's cut $24.0M–$54.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	64k reviews Mixed	CrimeOpen World
Crime Scene Cleaner 2024	Est. copies ≈ 858k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.0M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationCrime
RoboCop: Rogue City 2023	Est. copies ≈ 931k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	38k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
Mafia: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	111k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldCrime