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How many copies did Tennis Elbow 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 26k–43k
$216k–$581k after Steam's cut $393k–$894k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tennis Elbow 4 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tennis Elbow 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–28k
best case 129k (TopSpin 2K25)

2 of your 8 similar games are hits. A niche genre: plan for a small audience.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 14k–28k copies
≈ $152k–$337k after Steam's cut
from ~552 reviews
Best case
≈ 99k–160k copies
TopSpin 2K25 · ≈ $542k–$1.5M after Steam's cut
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports + Simulation, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry PvP + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

AO International Tennis
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$78k–$211k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before the cut
$24.99
375 reviews
Mostly Positive
TennisSports
World of Tennis: Roaring ’20s
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
280 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsFree to Play
TIEBREAK – GRAND SLAM EDITION
2024
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$326k–$876k after Steam's cut $592k–$1.3M before the cut
$59.99
823 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationSports
Tennis World Tour
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$183k–$491k after Steam's cut $332k–$755k before the cut
$29.99
728 reviews
Mixed
SportsTennis
TopSpin 2K25
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99k–160k
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$542k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $985k–$2.2M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mixed
SportsSimulation
Racket Fury: Table Tennis VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$83k–$222k after Steam's cut $150k–$341k before the cut
$29.99
291 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSports
Tennis Elbow 2013
2015
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$141k–$378k after Steam's cut $256k–$582k before the cut
$14.99
736 reviews
Very Positive
TennisSports
Eleven Table Tennis
2016
Est. copies
≈ 131k–213k
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SportsSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.