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How many copies did TopSpin 2K25 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 104k–169k
$571k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TopSpin 2K25 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TopSpin 2K25's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 35k–76k
best case 179k (Eleven Table Tennis)
Games like TopSpin 2K25

A typical game among these

≈ 35k–76k copies

≈ $214k–$916k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Eleven Table Tennis at ≈ 136k–221k copies, ≈ $748k–$2.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 327 reviews in their first month; the range was 133 to 899.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (7 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports + Simulation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tennis Elbow 4
2026
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$237k–$637k after Steam's cut $431k–$981k before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSports
Olympic Games Tokyo 2020 – The Official Video Game™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 68k–110k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
SportsCasual
Lofi Ping Pong
2019
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Very Positive
MusicRhythm
AO Tennis 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 42k–69k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$583k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
2k reviews
Mixed
SportsTennis
Eleven Table Tennis
2016
Est. copies
≈ 136k–221k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$748k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SportsSimulation
All-In-One Sports VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$105k–$283k after Steam's cut $191k–$435k before Steam's cut
$19.99
771 reviews
Very Positive
Racket: Nx
2018
Est. copies
≈ 16k–27k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$90k–$243k after Steam's cut $164k–$373k before Steam's cut
$19.99
540 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSports
Tennis Elbow 2013
2015
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$148k–$399k after Steam's cut $270k–$613k before Steam's cut
$14.99
737 reviews
Very Positive
TennisSports

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