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How many copies did Mr. Prepper sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 136k–221k
$747k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mr. Prepper and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mr. Prepper's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.5M–11.4M
best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)
Games like Mr. Prepper

A typical game among these

≈ 8.5M–11.4M copies

≈ $112.5M–$137.4M after Steam's cut

from ~280k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 180k reviews in their first month; the range was 57k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (7 of 8) and Survival (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut
$35.00
236k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Satisfactory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingAutomation
Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.