How much revenue did Kenshō make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kenshō sell?

Q: How many copies did Kenshō sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 58 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut; from 58 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kenshō and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kenshō's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.8M–5.4M

best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)

Games like Kenshō

A typical game among these

≈ 3.8M–5.4M copies

≈ $22.3M–$25.8M after Steam's cut

from ~81k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.5M–15.4M copies, ≈ $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (3 of 8) and Co-op (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Physics + Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition 2009	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.1M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut $24.7M–$56.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	156k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseZombies
Teardown 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DestructionPhysics
BattleBlock Theater® 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-op Platformer
Papers, Please 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$57.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	81k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	IndiePolitical
LIMBO 2011	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut	$12.49	62k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
GRIS 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	96k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulAtmospheric