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How many copies did Outworld Battlegrounds sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
from 63 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outworld Battlegrounds and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outworld Battlegrounds's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 236k–1.6M
best case 8.1M (Z1 Battle Royale)
Games like Outworld Battlegrounds

A typical game among these

≈ 236k–1.6M copies

≈ $155k after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Z1 Battle Royale at ≈ 6.2M–10.0M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (7 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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15x vs typical
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Home Sweet Home : Survive
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.