How much revenue did Nephise: Ascension make?

$7k–$18k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nephise: Ascension sell?

Q: How many copies did Nephise: Ascension sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 162 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut; from 162 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nephise: Ascension and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nephise: Ascension's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–3.2M

best case 20.7M (The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition)

Games like Nephise: Ascension

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–3.2M copies

≈ $8.3M–$24.8M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (6 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
Who's Your Daddy?! 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	32k reviews Mostly Positive	FunnyMultiplayer
The Witness 2016	Est. copies ≈ 900k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$40.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	22k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleExploration
Cloudpunk 2020	Est. copies ≈ 385k–626k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkOpen World
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015	Est. copies ≈ 309k–501k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	6k reviews Mostly Negative	MultiplayerFPS
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	379k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Gone Home 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	18k reviews Mostly Positive	Walking SimulatorShort
The Long Dark 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–6.9M 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$97.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	124k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft