How much revenue did Pax Nova make?

$77k–$208k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Pax Nova sell?

Q: How many copies did Pax Nova sell?

11k to 18k copies, based on its 453 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 11k–18k; $77k–$208k after Steam's cut $140k–$319k before Steam's cut; from 453 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pax Nova and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pax Nova's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 557k–1.1M

best case 1.7M (Sid Meier's Civilization®: Beyond Earth™)

Games like Pax Nova

A typical game among these

≈ 557k–1.1M copies

≈ $3.7M–$13.9M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier's Civilization®: Beyond Earth™ at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $14.3M–$38.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 4X (7 of 8) and Sci-fi (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Sci-fi, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ENDLESS Space™ - Definitive Edition 2012	Est. copies ≈ 607k–987k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Strategy4X
ENDLESS Legend™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	19k reviews Very Positive	Strategy4X
Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War 2018	Est. copies ≈ 572k–929k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWarhammer 40K
Galactic Civilizations III 2015	Est. copies ≈ 508k–825k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	AliensSci-fi
Sid Meier's Civilization®: Beyond Earth™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.3M–$38.4M after Steam's cut $26.0M–$59.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	23k reviews Mixed	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Age of Wonders: Planetfall 2019	Est. copies ≈ 193k–313k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	7k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Master of Orion 2016	Est. copies ≈ 341k–554k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	8k reviews Mostly Positive	Strategy4X
Slipways 2021	Est. copies ≈ 57k–93k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $268k–$720k after Steam's cut $487k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$16.99	2k reviews Very Positive	StrategyPuzzle