How much revenue did Armed to the Gears make?

$7k–$20k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Armed to the Gears sell?

Q: How many copies did Armed to the Gears sell?

5k to 9k copies, based on its 215 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–9k; $7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut; from 215 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Armed to the Gears and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Armed to the Gears's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–26k

best case 69k (Taur)

Games like Armed to the Gears

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–26k copies

≈ $25k–$217k after Steam's cut

from ~302 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 4 similar games is a hit.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Taur at ≈ 52k–85k copies, ≈ $360k–$968k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 97 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 472.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Tower Defense (3 of 4) and Real Time Tactics (2 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Base-Building, priced around $25.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 4 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut	$9.99	241 reviews Mostly Positive	Action RoguelikeAuto Battler
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut	$14.99	362 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureShoot 'Em Up
Taur 2020	Est. copies ≈ 52k–85k 7.0x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $360k–$968k after Steam's cut $654k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
Dog Duty 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut	$4.99	126 reviews Mostly Positive	WarIndie