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How many copies did Doodle Date sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–17k
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$24k before Steam's cut
from 343 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Doodle Date and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Doodle Date's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–8.0M
best case 10.8M (Monster Hunter Wilds)
Games like Doodle Date

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–8.0M copies

≈ $6.7M–$140.4M after Steam's cut

from ~110k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Character Customization (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Monster Hunter Wilds at ≈ 8.2M–13.4M copies, ≈ $90.5M–$243.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 951 reviews in their first month; the range was 205 to 183k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Character Customization (3 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hunting + Co-op, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Monster Hunter Wilds
2025
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.4M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$90.5M–$243.4M after Steam's cut $164.6M–$374.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
332k reviews
Mixed
HuntingAction
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1
2020
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
704 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 574k–933k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
23k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationCrime
The Sims™ 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
201k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimCharacter Customization
Comedy Night
2017
Est. copies
≈ 320k–519k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $798k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualComedy
Take me, Vitaly
2024
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
$5.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorDark Humor

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