How much revenue did Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1 make?

Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1 is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1 sell?

Q: How many copies did Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1 sell?

17k to 28k copies, based on its 704 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 17k–28k; from 704 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–3.2M

best case 22.0M (Undertale)

Games like Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–3.2M copies

≈ $12.3M–$29.3M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.8M–27.2M copies, ≈ $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 332 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Choices Matter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Pixel Graphics + Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Emily is Away 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStory Rich
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	47k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
BioShock™ Remastered 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.9M–$40.1M after Steam's cut $27.1M–$61.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	65k reviews Very Positive	FPS Story Rich
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 982k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut	$11.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PsychologicalDark Comedy
Undertale 2015	Est. copies ≈ 16.8M–27.2M 7.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	343k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
The Walking Dead: Season Two 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesAdventure
Beyond: Two Souls 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	AdventureChoices Matter
The Walking Dead 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.5M after Steam's cut $38.2M–$86.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	81k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesStory Rich