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How many copies did Alaskan Road Truckers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 81k–132k
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alaskan Road Truckers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alaskan Road Truckers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–3.4M
best case 9.9M (Forza Horizon 4)
Games like Alaskan Road Truckers

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–3.4M copies

≈ $12.3M–$21.5M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 4 at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 779 to 84k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Automobile Sim (8 of 8) and Driving (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Racing + Realistic + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
My Summer Car
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
118k reviews
Very Positive
Automobile SimSimulation
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
282k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
The Crew™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.0M–$67.2M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
100k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingOpen World
Need for Speed™ Most Wanted
2020
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingMultiplayer
Need for Speed™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 737k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
30k reviews
Mixed
RacingMultiplayer
MudRunner
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
OffroadSimulation
City Car Driving
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$42.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDriving

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