How much revenue did Noel the Mortal Fate Complete Edition make?

$430k–$1.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Noel the Mortal Fate Complete Edition sell?

Q: How many copies did Noel the Mortal Fate Complete Edition sell?

104k to 169k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 104k–169k; $430k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $781k–$1.8M before the cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Noel the Mortal Fate Complete Edition out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Noel the Mortal Fate Complete Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 339k–674k

best case 2.9M (OMORI)

Games like Noel the Mortal Fate Complete Edition

The middle of these games

≈ 339k–674k copies

≈ $1.2M–$3.7M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Anime (6 of 8) and RPGMaker (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Psychological Horror + Multiple Endings + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Confess My Love 2017	Est. copies ≈ 168k–273k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAnime
Tales of the Black Forest 2019	Est. copies ≈ 446k–725k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $489k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $890k–$2.0M before the cut	$3.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGRPGMaker
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$49.9M before the cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Mad Father 2016	Est. copies ≈ 281k–457k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $772k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut	$9.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGMakerHorror
Eternal Senia 2015	Est. copies ≈ 589k–956k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeFree to Play
Material Girl 2017	Est. copies ≈ 304k–495k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
King Exit 2017	Est. copies ≈ 236k–383k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky 2014	Est. copies ≈ 581k–945k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut	$19.99	10k reviews Very Positive	JRPG Story Rich