How much revenue did Accident make?

$181k–$486k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Accident sell?

Q: How many copies did Accident sell?

44k to 71k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 44k–71k; $181k–$486k after Steam's cut $328k–$747k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Accident and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Accident's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 48k–58k

best case 64k (Weedcraft Inc)

Games like Accident

A typical game among these

≈ 48k–58k copies

≈ $498k–$507k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Weedcraft Inc at ≈ 49k–79k copies, ≈ $267k–$719k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 77 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 829.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Medical Sim (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Management, priced around $20.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Weedcraft Inc 2019	Est. copies ≈ 49k–79k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $267k–$719k after Steam's cut $486k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationStrategy
Ambulance Life: A Paramedic Simulator 2025	Est. copies ≈ 33k–54k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mixed	SimulationDriving
Medical verdict 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut	$8.99	53 reviews Mixed	SimulationIndie
Sharecare YOU 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	86 reviews Mostly Positive	EducationMedical Sim
Sharecare YOU VR 2020	Est. copies ≈ 967–2k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	39 reviews Positive	EducationVR
Autopsy Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 40k–66k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $277k–$746k after Steam's cut $504k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Mixed	SimulationIndie
Pharmacy Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $18k–$47k after Steam's cut $32k–$73k before Steam's cut	$9.99	258 reviews Mixed	SimulationLife Sim
Doctor Life Simulator 2025	Est. copies ≈ 3k–6k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before Steam's cut	$4.99	138 reviews Mixed	SimulationLife Sim