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How many copies did Pestis sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut
from 109 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pestis and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pestis's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–3.2M
best case 4.5M (House Flipper)
Games like Pestis

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies

≈ $9.7M–$20.4M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: House Flipper at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Sandbox (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Design & Illustration, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration
PC Building Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEducation
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime
City Car Driving
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$42.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDriving
Backrooms: Partygoers
2024
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$11.99
34 reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorSingleplayer
Plague Inc: Evolved
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.3M–$30.4M after Steam's cut $20.6M–$46.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Bio Inc. Redemption
2018
Est. copies
≈ 99k–161k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$353k–$950k after Steam's cut $642k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Medical SimOutbreak Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.