How much revenue did Last Tide make?

Last Tide is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Last Tide sell?

Q: How many copies did Last Tide sell?

34k to 56k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 34k–56k; from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Last Tide and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Last Tide's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–4.1M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Last Tide

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–4.1M copies

≈ $19.5M–$39.6M after Steam's cut

from ~79k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Battle Royale (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the range was 115 to 144k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Battle Royale (4 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Battle Royale. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + FPS + Third-Person Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 35x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Super Animal Royale 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	45k reviews Very Positive	Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Stumble Guys 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.6M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	139k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayBattle Royale
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	88k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerPhysics
MORDHAU 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.3M–5.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.9M–$72.3M after Steam's cut $48.9M–$111.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	113k reviews Mostly Positive	MedievalMultiplayer
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
Eternal Return 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	69k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayAnime