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How many copies did Synthwave Dream '85 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 73 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Synthwave Dream '85 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Synthwave Dream '85's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–7k
best case 502k (Retrowave)
Games like Synthwave Dream '85

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–7k copies

≈ $2k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~70 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Retrowave at ≈ 383k–622k copies, ≈ $315k–$846k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 7k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (7 of 8) and Runner (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + 1980s, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Music + Retro + 1980s; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy under 20k
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SteamSpy under 20k
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$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
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ArcadeDriving
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3.5x vs typical
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80's Night
2021
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≈ 1k–2k
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$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
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RacingIndie
TRON RUN/r
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Est. copies
≈ 19k–30k
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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ActionRacing
Retrowave
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–622k
220x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$315k–$846k after Steam's cut $572k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$2.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Racing1980s

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