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How many copies did Retrowave sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 383k–622k
$315k–$846k after Steam's cut $572k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 15k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Retrowave and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Retrowave's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 128k–178k
best case 253k (OutDrive)
Games like Retrowave

A typical game among these

≈ 128k–178k copies

≈ $280k–$626k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OutDrive at ≈ 193k–313k copies, ≈ $159k–$426k after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (5 of 8) and 1980s (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + 1980s, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slipstream
2018
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$146k–$392k after Steam's cut $265k–$602k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDriving
OutDrive
2016
Est. copies
≈ 193k–313k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$159k–$426k after Steam's cut $288k–$656k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingIndie
Music Racer
2018
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$60k–$162k after Steam's cut $110k–$250k before Steam's cut
$1.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Razortron 2000
2016
Est. copies
≈ 136k–221k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$186k–$501k after Steam's cut $339k–$771k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
CasualRacing
Super Woden GP 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$90k–$242k after Steam's cut $163k–$372k before Steam's cut
$12.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSports
Neon Drive
2016
Est. copies
≈ 91k–148k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$250k–$672k after Steam's cut $454k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
1980sRetro
Retro City Rampage™ DX
2014
Est. copies
≈ 136k–221k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$560k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Cyber Hook
2020
Est. copies
≈ 104k–169k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Indie3D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.