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How many copies did Neon Drive sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 91k–148k
$250k–$672k after Steam's cut $454k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Neon Drive and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Neon Drive's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 447k–3.2M
best case 10.7M (Hotline Miami)
Games like Neon Drive

A typical game among these

≈ 447k–3.2M copies

≈ $2.2M–$16.9M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 1980s (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hotline Miami at ≈ 8.1M–13.2M copies, ≈ $22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 1980s (4 of 8) and Gore (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Violent + Top-Down, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

UFO 50
2024
Est. copies
≈ 186k–303k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndiePixel Graphics
Hotline Miami
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.2M
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut $40.6M–$92.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackViolent
Duck Game
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.4M–$28.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Beat Cop
2017
Est. copies
≈ 214k–347k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$880k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsIndie
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackGore
PAC-MAN™ Championship Edition DX+
2013
Est. copies
≈ 521k–847k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ArcadeRetro
Retrowave
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–622k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$315k–$846k after Steam's cut $572k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$2.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Racing1980s
Far Cry 3 - Blood Dragon
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
FPS1980s

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