How much revenue did Project Warlock make?

$624k–$1.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Project Warlock sell?

Q: How many copies did Project Warlock sell?

189k to 308k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 189k–308k; $624k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Project Warlock and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Project Warlock's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 58k–440k

best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)

Games like Project Warlock

A typical game among these

≈ 58k–440k copies

≈ $180k–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 166 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Boomer Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ULTRAKILL 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.1M–9.9M 52x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	245k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Turbo Overkill 2023	Est. copies ≈ 187k–304k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	FPSBoomer Shooter
WRATH: Aeon of Ruin 2024	Est. copies ≈ 74k–120k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $509k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $925k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionBoomer Shooter
Monument 2015	Est. copies ≈ 44k–72k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut	$1.99	903 reviews Mostly Positive	Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
Super 3-D Noah's Ark 2015	Est. copies ≈ 45k–72k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $122k–$329k after Steam's cut $223k–$506k before Steam's cut	$9.99	913 reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
DUSK 2018	Est. copies ≈ 778k–1.3M 5.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS
HROT 2023	Est. copies ≈ 162k–263k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $891k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RetroFPS
Bloodhound 2023	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut	$3.99	386 reviews Mixed	Boomer ShooterFPS