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How big is Coloring Pixels?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 265k–430k
from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Coloring Pixels and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Coloring Pixels's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 292k–686k
best case 862k (Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game)
Games like Coloring Pixels

A typical game among these

≈ 292k–686k copies

≈ $1.8M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Clicker (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game at ≈ 657k–1.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 579 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (2 of 8) and Platformer (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Clicker.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Yi Xian: The Cultivation Card Game
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Himno
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≈ 168k–273k
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A Little to the Left
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Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
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PuzzleRelaxing
Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 657k–1.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerClicker
Loading Screen Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMemes
MANDAGON
2016
Est. copies
≈ 239k–389k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Free
Free
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayPixel Graphics
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Pixel Piracy
2014
Est. copies
≈ 412k–669k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeSandbox

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