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How many copies did Conjure Strike sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 91–148
$375–$1k after Steam's cut $682–$2k before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Conjure Strike and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Conjure Strike's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–16.0M
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Conjure Strike

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–16.0M copies

≈ $43.0M–$67.4M after Steam's cut

from ~125k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 500 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 38k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Team-Based (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry e-sports + Competitive + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2000 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
79x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.9M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Pavlov
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
VRShooter
Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
Counter-Strike: Source
2004
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$33.6M–$90.3M after Steam's cut $61.0M–$138.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
193k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ShooterFPS
Frenzy Extinction
2024
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$11.99
14 reviews
Mixed
Arena ShooterVR
Insurgency
2014
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.8M–$77.3M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
125k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRealistic
Dirty Bomb®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
57k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play
IRON REBELLION
2024
Est. copies
≈ 21k–35k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$147k–$395k after Steam's cut $267k–$607k before Steam's cut
$24.99
861 reviews
Very Positive
VRMechs

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