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How many copies did Defend The Keep sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 547–889
from 19 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Defend The Keep and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Defend The Keep's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–204k
best case 773k (Thronefall)
Games like Defend The Keep

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–204k copies

≈ $3k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~60 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Thronefall at ≈ 589k–957k copies, ≈ $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 44 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 16k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (6 of 8) and Action RTS (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + City Builder, priced around $13.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sons of Ra
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut
$14.99
62 reviews
Mostly Positive
Thronefall
2024
Est. copies
≈ 589k–957k
396x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut
$12.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc
2014
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$120k before Steam's cut
$9.99
188 reviews
Mostly Positive
AnimeRPG
Orcs Must Die! 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
328x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Mace and Grace: action fight blood fitness arcade
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
$9.99
52 reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Tyrgard Archer VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$135–$363 after Steam's cut $246–$559 before Steam's cut
$0.99
20 reviews
Mostly Positive
ColorfulFantasy
Hold The Fort
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
58 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyIndie
Massive Defense
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$440 after Steam's cut $296–$677 before Steam's cut
$7.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Action RTSWargame

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