How much revenue did Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc make?

$29k–$78k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc sell?

Q: How many copies did Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc sell?

11k to 17k copies, based on its 188 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 11k–17k; $29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$120k before Steam's cut; from 188 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–44k

best case 105k (Marfusha:Sentinel Girls )

Games like Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–44k copies

≈ $61k–$259k after Steam's cut

from ~722 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Marfusha:Sentinel Girls at ≈ 80k–130k copies, ≈ $175k–$472k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 399 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 820.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Tower Defense (6 of 8) and Female Protagonist (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Anime + Action Roguelike, priced around $8.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut	$14.99	362 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureShoot 'Em Up
Marfusha:Sentinel Girls 2021	Est. copies ≈ 80k–130k 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $175k–$472k after Steam's cut $319k–$726k before Steam's cut	$7.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AnimeAction Roguelike
Touhou Monster TD ~ 幻想乡妖怪塔防 2021	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $132k–$355k after Steam's cut $240k–$546k before Steam's cut	$18.99	1k reviews Very Positive	RPGTactical RPG
Cavalry Girls 2023	Est. copies ≈ 50k–81k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $164k–$441k after Steam's cut $298k–$678k before Steam's cut	$11.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Top-Down ShooterMechs
Fort Defense 2015	Est. copies ≈ 21k–34k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $85k–$229k after Steam's cut $155k–$353k before Steam's cut	$14.99	424 reviews Mostly Positive	Tower DefenseCasual
Gensokyo Defenders 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $22k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$89k before Steam's cut	$19.99	136 reviews Very Positive	ActionStrategy
Witch Explorer 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$35k before Steam's cut	$6.99	180 reviews Very Positive	CasualShooter
Affogato 2023	Est. copies ≈ 28k–46k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $132k–$356k after Steam's cut $241k–$548k before Steam's cut	$16.99	1k reviews Very Positive	AnimeJRPG