How much revenue did Cavalry Girls make?

$164k–$441k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cavalry Girls sell?

Q: How many copies did Cavalry Girls sell?

50k to 81k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 50k–81k; $164k–$441k after Steam's cut $298k–$678k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cavalry Girls and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cavalry Girls's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–7k

best case 12k (Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel)

Games like Cavalry Girls

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–7k copies

≈ $12k–$31k after Steam's cut

from ~150 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel at ≈ 9k–15k copies, ≈ $37k–$100k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 41 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 162.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Bullet Hell (5 of 8) and Shoot 'Em Up (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choose Your Own Adventure + Shoot 'Em Up, priced around $15.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut	$14.99	362 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureShoot 'Em Up
REDNEG ALLSTARS SWING-BY EDITION 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut	$10.99	90 reviews Very Positive	ActionShooter
Like Dreamer 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $17k–$45k after Steam's cut $31k–$70k before Steam's cut	$13.99	177 reviews Very Positive	ActionShooter
Project Beril / 贝丽尔养成计划 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut	$9.99	86 reviews Very Positive	IndieShoot 'Em Up
WITCH-BOT MEGLILO 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut	$5.99	123 reviews Very Positive	IndieAction
Replik Survivors 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$4.99	80 reviews Mostly Positive	Action RoguelikeAnime
HSS:Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5k–9k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut	$8.99	212 reviews Mostly Positive	Rogue-liteSingleplayer
Gunner-chan! 2025	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut	$9.99	246 reviews Very Positive	ActionAction Roguelike