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How many copies did Touhou Monster TD ~ 幻想乡妖怪塔防 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–41k
$132k–$355k after Steam's cut $240k–$546k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Touhou Monster TD ~ 幻想乡妖怪塔防 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Touhou Monster TD ~ 幻想乡妖怪塔防's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 43k–88k
best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)
Games like Touhou Monster TD ~ 幻想乡妖怪塔防

A typical game among these

≈ 43k–88k copies

≈ $76k–$381k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Tower Defense (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 360 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (4 of 8) and Fantasy (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Auto Battler + Management, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Tactical + Turn-Based Tactics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gladiator Guild Manager
2024
Est. copies
≈ 102k–165k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$418k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $761k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAuto Battler
Prime World: Defenders
2013
Est. copies
≈ 67k–108k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$183k–$492k after Steam's cut $333k–$758k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
50x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
We Are The Dwarves
2016
Est. copies
≈ 67k–109k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$276k–$742k after Steam's cut $502k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mixed
IndieAdventure
Defender's Quest: Valley of the Forgotten (DX edition)
2012
Est. copies
≈ 222k–361k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$916k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseFemale Protagonist
Love n War: Hero by Chance
2021
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Love n War: Warlord by Chance
2021
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$191k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

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