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How many copies did Offside sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$327–$879 after Steam's cut $595–$1k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Offside and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Offside's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 270k–494k
best case 2.1M (VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action)
Games like Offside

A typical game among these

≈ 270k–494k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share LGBTQ+ (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Visual Novel, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Cyberpunk + Pixel Graphics + Dystopian ; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
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Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
4.9x vs typical
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CyberpunkVisual Novel
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LGBTQ+Dating Sim
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Marco & The Galaxy Dragon
2020
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≈ 196k–319k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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Visual NovelAnime
Monster Prom
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–708k
1.8x vs typical
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Dating SimComedy
missed messages.
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