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How many copies did Secret Government sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$41k–$110k after Steam's cut $74k–$169k before Steam's cut
from 299 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Secret Government and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Secret Government's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 60k–187k
best case 418k (Secret World Legends)
Games like Secret Government

A typical game among these

≈ 60k–187k copies

≈ $326k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Secret World Legends at ≈ 319k–518k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 673 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Grand Strategy (5 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with MMORPG + Lovecraftian.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 159k–258k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES - nirvanA Initiative
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Visual NovelMystery
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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$146k–$393k after Steam's cut $265k–$604k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Secret World Legends
2017
Est. copies
≈ 319k–518k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Mixed
MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Evil Bank Manager
2018
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$177k–$475k after Steam's cut $321k–$731k before Steam's cut
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StrategyEconomy
The Shadow Government Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$9.99
111 reviews
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
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$39.99
2k reviews
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StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Universal Conquest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
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29 reviews
Mostly Positive
Strategy4X

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