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How big is Secret World Legends?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 319k–518k
from 9k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Secret World Legends and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Secret World Legends's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.0M–14.8M
best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Secret World Legends

A typical game among these

≈ 4.0M–14.8M copies

≈ $47.3M–$85.7M after Steam's cut

from ~163k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dark Fantasy (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 89 to 102k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dark Fantasy (3 of 8) and Action RPG (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout 76
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.4M–$103.3M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
141k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldMultiplayer
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
DREDGE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationFishing
Path of Exile
2013
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
250k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayDark Fantasy
Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
227k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
The Yellow King
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
$8.99
218 reviews
Mixed
Massively MultiplayerAction

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