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How many copies did The Yellow King sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
from 218 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Yellow King and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Yellow King's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.7M–12.8M
best case 37.9M (HELLDIVERS™ 2)
Games like The Yellow King

A typical game among these

≈ 11.7M–12.8M copies

≈ $132.6M–$265.4M after Steam's cut

from ~347k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ 2 at ≈ 28.9M–46.9M copies, ≈ $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 251k reviews in their first month; the range was 143k to 347k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Open World, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10.3M–16.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$169.4M–$455.5M after Steam's cut $308.0M–$700.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
357k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Souls-likeDifficult
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2023
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
347k reviews
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TacticalRealistic
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28.7M–46.6M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
937k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
782k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer

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