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How big is Dark Roll?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 7k–12k
from 259 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Roll and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Roll's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 570–2k
best case 64k (PAC-MAN WORLD Re-PAC)
Games like Dark Roll

A typical game among these

≈ 570–2k copies

≈ $457–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~22 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: PAC-MAN WORLD Re-PAC at ≈ 48k–79k copies, ≈ $400k–$1.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 304 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (5 of 8) and Arcade (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Platformer + 1990's, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Family Friendly + 1990's + Remake; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PAC-MAN WORLD Re-PAC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 48k–79k
89x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$400k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $727k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerFamily Friendly
No Time For Caution
2022
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22 reviews
Mostly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureTactical RPG
Woodle Tree 2: Deluxe+
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before Steam's cut
$12.99
141 reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Beat Me If You Can
2020
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$258–$694 after Steam's cut $469–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
19 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Now you can't see me
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
64 reviews
Mostly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Rolling Ball : Sphere Guider
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8 reviews
8 user reviews
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Only UP
2023
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$5.99
32 reviews
Mixed
AdventurePlatformer
Block & Shot
2024
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$898 before Steam's cut
$1.99
16 reviews
Positive
PuzzleLogic

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