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How many copies did Puzzles for smart: Horses sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 851–1k
$934–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Puzzles for smart: Horses and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Puzzles for smart: Horses's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–31k
best case 109k (Just Go)
Games like Puzzles for smart: Horses

A typical game among these

≈ 18k–31k copies

≈ $110k–$127k after Steam's cut

from ~579 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Just Go at ≈ 83k–135k copies, ≈ $228k–$612k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 337 reviews in their first month; the range was 171 to 653.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (8 of 8) and Solitaire (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game + Card Game, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Board Game + Casual + Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Just Go
2022
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$228k–$612k after Steam's cut $414k–$941k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
Regency Solitaire
2015
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$145k–$389k after Steam's cut $263k–$598k before Steam's cut
$11.99
899 reviews
Very Positive
SolitaireVisual Novel
Chroma: Bloom And Blight
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
516 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualCard Battler
FreeCell Quest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$69k–$185k after Steam's cut $125k–$284k before Steam's cut
$9.99
513 reviews
Mostly Positive
SolitaireCard Battler
Faerie Solitaire
2010
Est. copies
≈ 160k–259k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SolitaireCasual
Ancient Enemy
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$59k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$246k before Steam's cut
$16.99
513 reviews
Very Positive
The Solitaire Conspiracy
2020
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$63k–$169k after Steam's cut $114k–$260k before Steam's cut
$11.99
770 reviews
Very Positive
Card GameSolitaire
Happy Guy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut
$2.99
642 reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.