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How many copies did Ancient Enemy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–21k
$59k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$246k before Steam's cut
from 513 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ancient Enemy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ancient Enemy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 167k–289k
best case 4.8M (Inscryption)
Games like Ancient Enemy

A typical game among these

≈ 167k–289k copies

≈ $1.4M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Card Battler (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Inscryption at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Battler (4 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Battler + Card Game, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Horror + Dark + Rogue-lite; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tainted Grail: Conquest
2021
Est. copies
≈ 208k–338k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
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Shadowhand: RPG Card Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 28k–46k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$550k before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
Depersonalization
2024
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$936k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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LovecraftianPixel Graphics
Word Game: Episode 0
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Est. copies
≈ 113k–183k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
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Overwhelmingly Positive
MinimalistIndie
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 321k–522k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGExploration
Explorer:Golden Empire
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
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8 reviews
8 user reviews
AdventureRPG
古龙风云录
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Est. copies
≈ 225k–365k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Mixed

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