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How many copies did Shadowhand: RPG Card Game sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–46k
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$550k before Steam's cut
from 828 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shadowhand: RPG Card Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadowhand: RPG Card Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–18k
best case 137k (Agarest: Generations of War)
Games like Shadowhand: RPG Card Game

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–18k copies

≈ $5k–$123k after Steam's cut

from ~127 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Agarest: Generations of War at ≈ 105k–170k copies, ≈ $431k–$1.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 42 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 171.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share CRPG (7 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Tactical RPG, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Agarest: Generations of War
2014
Est. copies
≈ 105k–170k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$431k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $784k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGTactical RPG
Super Army of Tentacles 3: The Search for Army of Tentacles 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 826–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$10.99
24 reviews
Mixed
LovecraftianParty-Based RPG
Magical Diary: Wolf Hall
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut
$24.99
217 reviews
Very Positive
最后的大法师 光明之旅(Last Archmage Journey of Light)
2020
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$6.99
36 reviews
Positive
Ancient Enemy
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$59k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$246k before Steam's cut
$16.99
513 reviews
Very Positive
Fay's Factory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$19.99
19 reviews
Positive
Early AccessCRPG
Trials of Kokoro
2023
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$13.99
35 reviews
Positive
Sovereign Syndicate
2024
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$89k–$238k after Steam's cut $161k–$367k before Steam's cut
$19.99
650 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGSingleplayer

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