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How many copies did Möbius Front '83 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–21k
$70k–$189k after Steam's cut $128k–$291k before Steam's cut
from 516 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Möbius Front '83 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Möbius Front '83's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 158k–585k
best case 1.3M (Company of Heroes 3)
Games like Möbius Front '83

A typical game among these

≈ 158k–585k copies

≈ $1.9M–$11.8M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Company of Heroes 3 at ≈ 1.0M–1.6M copies, ≈ $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 825 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Wargame (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Wargame + RTS, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Romance of the Three Kingdoms XIII
2016
Est. copies
≈ 317k–516k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
8k reviews
Mixed
Axis & Allies 1942 Online
2021
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$698k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
WargameBoard Game
Three Kingdoms The Last Warlord
2021
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$108k–$290k after Steam's cut $196k–$446k before Steam's cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Mixed
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Romance of the Three Kingdoms XI with Power Up Kit
2018
Est. copies
≈ 125k–204k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Panzer Corps 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 104k–169k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Company of Heroes 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
40k reviews
Mixed
SingleplayerStrategy
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV
2020
Est. copies
≈ 404k–656k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
16k reviews
Mixed
Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War
2018
Est. copies
≈ 572k–929k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K

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