How much revenue did Shelter 3 make?

$52k–$140k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Shelter 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Shelter 3 sell?

9k to 15k copies, based on its 383 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 9k–15k; $52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$216k before Steam's cut; from 383 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shelter 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shelter 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 416k–636k

best case 1.8M (SnowRunner)

Games like Shelter 3

A typical game among these

≈ 416k–636k copies

≈ $4.2M–$10.9M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SnowRunner at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $11.5M–$31.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 9k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Automobile Sim, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Automobile Sim + Multiplayer + Driving; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Two Point Museum 2025	Est. copies ≈ 335k–545k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationCasual
Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024 2024	Est. copies ≈ 562k–913k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut	$69.99	23k reviews Mixed	SimulationFlight
SnowRunner 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.5M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	56k reviews Very Positive	SimulationAutomobile Sim
Strange Horticulture 2022	Est. copies ≈ 401k–652k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut	$15.99	16k reviews Very Positive	MysteryPuzzle
RoadCraft 2025	Est. copies ≈ 407k–661k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	16k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationBuilding
Ultimate Fishing Simulator® 2018	Est. copies ≈ 279k–453k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	3DAmerica
Maneater 2021	Est. copies ≈ 669k–1.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldDark Humor
Ancestors: The Humankind Odyssey 2020	Est. copies ≈ 299k–486k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	12k reviews Mostly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival