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How many copies did Super Mega Baseball 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 52k–85k
$644k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Super Mega Baseball 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Super Mega Baseball 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–22k
best case 75k (Backyard Baseball '97)
Games like Super Mega Baseball 3

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–22k copies

≈ $20k–$194k after Steam's cut

from ~324 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Backyard Baseball '97 at ≈ 57k–92k copies, ≈ $156k–$420k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 95 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 838.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Baseball (7 of 8) and Sports (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports + Baseball, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Cute + Pixel Graphics + 1990's; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Super Mega Baseball: Extra Innings
2015
Est. copies
≈ 48k–77k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$170k–$458k after Steam's cut $310k–$704k before Steam's cut
$12.99
977 reviews
Very Positive
BaseballSports
All-In-One Sports VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$105k–$283k after Steam's cut $191k–$435k before Steam's cut
$19.99
771 reviews
Very Positive
Backyard Baseball '97
2024
Est. copies
≈ 57k–92k
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$156k–$420k after Steam's cut $284k–$647k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SportsCasual
Super Psycho Baseball
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
$4.99
249 reviews
Very Positive
SportsBaseball
Home Run High
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$8.99
176 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationSports
R.B.I. Baseball 20
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
324 reviews
Mixed
SportsBaseball
Ball-it Hell
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
$2.99
554 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ArcadeScore Attack
R.B.I. Baseball 21
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
179 reviews
Mixed
SportsBaseball

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