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How big is Idle Wizard?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 53k–86k
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Idle Wizard and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Idle Wizard's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22k–65k
best case 490k (Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms)
Games like Idle Wizard

A typical game among these

≈ 22k–65k copies

≈ $46k–$111k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms at ≈ 374k–607k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 410 reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (8 of 8) and Clicker (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeons & Dragons + Idler. The breakout hits carry Dungeons & Dragons + Free to Play + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.