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How big is Casual Desktop Game?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 5k–8k
from 196 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Casual Desktop Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Casual Desktop Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.8M–15.4M
best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)
Games like Casual Desktop Game

A typical game among these

≈ 2.8M–15.4M copies

≈ $23.5M–$163.3M after Steam's cut

from ~160k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 31k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 49k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Moddable (8 of 8) and Sandbox (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Moddable, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
Kerbal Space Program
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SpaceSimulation
Farming Simulator 22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG
Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive

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