How much revenue did Moons of Madness make?

$582k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Moons of Madness sell?

Q: How many copies did Moons of Madness sell?

85k to 138k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 85k–138k; $582k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Moons of Madness and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Moons of Madness's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 164k–780k

best case 3.4M (SOMA)

Games like Moons of Madness

A typical game among these

≈ 164k–780k copies

≈ $1.4M–$9.3M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SOMA at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Observation 2020	Est. copies ≈ 130k–210k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $890k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	IndieAdventure
Hellpoint 2020	Est. copies ≈ 112k–183k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$34.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	Souls-likeSci-fi
Scanner Sombre 2017	Est. copies ≈ 157k–256k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $303k–$814k after Steam's cut $550k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$6.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationHorror
CARRION 2020	Est. copies ≈ 895k–1.5M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	36k reviews Very Positive	Villain ProtagonistPixel Graphics
Gibbous - A Cthulhu Adventure 2019	Est. copies ≈ 66k–108k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $365k–$981k after Steam's cut $664k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Story RichPoint & Click
Still Wakes the Deep 2024	Est. copies ≈ 328k–533k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$34.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Psychological Horror Horror
Scorn 2022	Est. copies ≈ 494k–802k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	20k reviews Mostly Positive	GoreHorror
SOMA 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Psychological Horror