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How many copies did Observation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 136k–222k
$938k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Observation out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Observation's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.1M–16.7M
best case 34.9M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
The Crafting genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 8.1M–16.7M copies
≈ $99.1M–$188.2M after Steam's cut
from ~326k reviews
Best case
≈ 26.6M–43.2M copies
ARK: Survival Evolved · ≈ $109.6M–$294.7M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Crafting (4 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
232k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$271.9M–$731.1M after Steam's cut $494.4M–$1124.8M before the cut
$59.99
412k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Satisfactory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.5M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before the cut
$39.99
275k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingAutomation
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$109.6M–$294.7M after Steam's cut $199.3M–$453.4M before the cut
$14.99
773k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.4M after Steam's cut $63.2M–$143.8M before the cut
$29.99
176k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10.0M–16.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$82.3M–$221.3M after Steam's cut $149.7M–$340.5M before the cut
$29.99
378k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.5M–18.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.5M–$254.0M after Steam's cut $171.8M–$390.8M before the cut
$29.99
377k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Starbound
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$83.9M before the cut
$14.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.