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How many copies did Terraforming Earth sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 645–1k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 26 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Terraforming Earth and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Terraforming Earth's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 94k–145k
best case 13.9M (R.E.P.O.)
Games like Terraforming Earth

A typical game among these

≈ 94k–145k copies

≈ $949k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Rogue-like (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: R.E.P.O. at ≈ 10.6M–17.2M copies, ≈ $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 67k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (3 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Comedy, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Horror + Online Co-Op + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sir, You Are Being Hunted
2014
Est. copies
≈ 219k–355k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
R.E.P.O.
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10.6M–17.2M
123x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
427k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Phantom Brigade
2023
Est. copies
≈ 114k–186k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$942k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based TacticsTactical RPG
Cogmind
2017
Est. copies
≈ 70k–113k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$479k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $870k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessTraditional Roguelike
30XX
2023
Est. copies
≈ 70k–114k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$385k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $700k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Deliver Us Mars
2023
Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$621k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Story RichSci-fi
FOUNDRY
2024
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$811k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAutomation
Wallkill
2024
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$510–$1k after Steam's cut $928–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
15 reviews
Positive
3DProcedural Generation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.