How much revenue did Cogmind make?

$479k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cogmind sell?

Q: How many copies did Cogmind sell?

70k to 113k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 70k–113k; $479k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $870k–$2.0M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cogmind and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cogmind's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 433k–675k

best case 1.2M (Stoneshard)

Games like Cogmind

A typical game among these

≈ 433k–675k copies

≈ $2.0M–$5.0M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stoneshard at ≈ 886k–1.4M copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 10k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (6 of 8) and Traditional Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Survival, priced around $25.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dungeons of Dredmor 2011	Est. copies ≈ 344k–559k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $756k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$7.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Traditional RoguelikeRogue-like
Stoneshard 2020	Est. copies ≈ 886k–1.4M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	36k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGRogue-like
Dome Keeper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 558k–906k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	22k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
The Lost Village 2024	Est. copies ≈ 78k–127k too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $257k–$692k after Steam's cut $468k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$11.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Base-BuildingResource Management
Magicraft 2024	Est. copies ≈ 419k–681k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.6M before Steam's cut	$15.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Elin 2024	Est. copies ≈ 229k–372k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessCharacter Customization
Caves of Qud 2024	Est. copies ≈ 316k–514k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Procedural GenerationTurn-Based Combat
Tales of Maj'Eyal 2013	Est. copies ≈ 471k–766k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $906k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$6.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Traditional RoguelikeRogue-like