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How many copies did Phantom Brigade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 114k–186k
$942k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Phantom Brigade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Phantom Brigade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 254k–303k
best case 310k (SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS)
Games like Phantom Brigade

A typical game among these

≈ 254k–303k copies

≈ $3.2M–$4.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS at ≈ 236k–384k copies, ≈ $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 158 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tactical RPG (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mechs + Tactical RPG, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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≈ 48k–78k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$132k–$355k after Steam's cut $240k–$546k before Steam's cut
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Turn-Based TacticsTactical RPG
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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too small to compare
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Mostly Positive
StrategyRPG

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