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How many copies did Mainframe Defenders sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 20k–32k
$33k–$87k after Steam's cut $59k–$135k before Steam's cut
from 796 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mainframe Defenders and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mainframe Defenders's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 513–12k
best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)
Games like Mainframe Defenders

A typical game among these

≈ 513–12k copies

≈ $696–$67k after Steam's cut

from ~39 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Tactical RPG (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 208k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tactical RPG (4 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Tactical RPG + Management + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
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12 reviews
Mixed
Spiritoké
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$61–$164 after Steam's cut $111–$253 before Steam's cut
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3 reviews
3 user reviews
DarkFighter
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Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$367–$985 after Steam's cut $667–$2k before Steam's cut
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Early AccessRPG
NovaMundi
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$12.99
50 reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGAlternate History
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
5839x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
Rogue Empire: Dungeon Crawler RPG
2019
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$47k–$127k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before Steam's cut
$14.99
397 reviews
Very Positive
Traditional RoguelikeRogue-like
Ultimate ADOM - Caverns of Chaos
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$70k–$187k after Steam's cut $126k–$288k before Steam's cut
$19.99
510 reviews
Mixed
FantasyOld School
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
5359x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG

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